Early stopping of clinical trials.

Abstract

Early stopping of clinical trials in favour of a new treatment creates ethical and scientific difficulties, which are different from those associated with early stopping due to toxicity or futility. Two major breast cancer trials have recently taken such a decision, and the problem is relevant for several ongoing trials. Here we argue that such a decision should be taken with the utmost gravity and should be based on a clear overall clinical benefit for the new treatment, and not as an automatic response to crossing a predefined threshold. Predefined rules can be used to trigger a debate within the Independent Data Monitoring and Safety Committee (IDMC) about early stopping, but the IDMC should retain the responsibility of assessing overall clinical benefit in making its recommendation.