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    The impact of changing the prevalence of overweight/obesity and physical inactivity in Australia: an estimate of the proportion of potentially avoidable cancers 2013-2037

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    Authors
    Wilson, LF
    Baade, PD
    Green, Adèle C
    Jordan, SJ
    Kendall, BJ
    Neale, RE
    Olsen, CM
    Youlden, DR
    Webb, PM
    Whiteman, DC
    Affiliation
    Population Health Department, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, 300 Herston Road, Herston, Queensland, 4006, Australia
    Issue Date
    2018
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract
    Globally, 39% of the world's adult population is overweight or obese and 23% is insufficiently active. These percentages are even larger in high-income countries with 58% overweight/obese and 33% insufficiently active. Fourteen cancer types have been declared by the World Cancer Research Fund to be causally associated with being overweight or obese: oesophageal adenocarcinoma, stomach cardia, colon, rectum, liver, gallbladder, pancreas, breast, endometrium, ovary, advanced/fatal prostate, kidney, thyroid and multiple myeloma. Colon, postmenopausal breast and endometrial cancers have also been judged causally associated with physical inactivity. We aimed to quantify the proportion of cancer cases that would be potentially avoidable in Australia if the prevalence of overweight/obesity and physical inactivity in the population could be reduced. We used the simulation modelling software PREVENT 3.01 to calculate the proportion of avoidable cancers over a 25-year period under different theoretical intervention scenarios that change the prevalence of overweight/obesity and physical inactivity in the population. Between 2013 and 2037, 10-13% of overweight/obesity-related cancers in men and 7-11% in women could be avoided if overweight and obesity were eliminated in the Australian population. If everyone in the population met the Australian physical activity guidelines for cancer prevention (i.e. engaged in at least 300 min of moderate-intensity physical activity per week), an estimated 2-3% of physical inactivity-related cancers could be prevented in men (colon cancer) and 1-2% in women (colon, breast and endometrial cancers). This would translate to the prevention of up to 190,500 overweight/obesity-related cancers and 19,200 inactivity-related cancers over 25 years.
    Citation
    Wilson LF, Baade PD, Green AC, Jordan SJ, Kendall BJ, Neale RE, et al. The impact of changing the prevalence of overweight/obesity and physical inactivity in Australia: An estimate of the proportion of potentially avoidable cancers 2013-2037. International Journal of Cancer [Internet]. 2018 Dec 3.
    Journal
    Int J Cancer
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10541/621364
    DOI
    10.1002/ijc.31943
    PubMed ID
    30357816
    Additional Links
    https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ijc.31943
    Type
    Article
    Language
    en
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1002/ijc.31943
    Scopus Count
    Collections
    All Paterson Institute for Cancer Research

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