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Machine learning based models of radiotherapy-induced skin induration for breast cancer patients

Cicchetti, A.
La Rocca, E.
De Santis, M. C.
Seibold, P.
Azria, D.
De Ruysscher, D.
Valdagni, R.
Dunning, A. M.
Elliot, R.
Gutierrez-Enriquez, S.
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Abstract
Purpose or Objective To use data from an international prospective cohort study of breast cancer patients (pts) to predict the risk of skin induration (SI) after radiotherapy (RT) using a machine learning algorithm that includes dosimetric/clinical/genetic factors. Materials and Methods Pts were treated after breast conserving surgery with conventional/moderate or ultra hypo-fractionated RT with or without a tumour bed boost based on clinical and pathological factors. Pts were enrolled in 7 countries in Europe/US; each centre followed local clinical practice, but the collection of data and genotyping was standardised and centralised. Our endpoint was late grade 1+ (G1+) SI 2 years after RT completion. Inclusion criteria were: no SI at baseline and availability of complete dosimetric and genetic data. For every pt, skin was defined as a 5-mm inner isotropic expansion from the outer body. To select a relevant portion of the skin DVH, we extracted the higher dose tail using different volume cutoffs (i.e. 25/50/100/150/200 cc volumes corresponding to 5x5-20x20cm2 areas). We corrected sub-DHVs for fractionation using two possible a/b values from the literature (1.8 Gy, Bentzen 1988 & Raza 2012; 3.6 Gy, Jones 2006 & Budach 2015). We calculated Equivalent Uniform Doses (EUDs) from corrected sub-DVHs, with n spanning from 1 to 0.05. We also considered the minimum dose of the selected DVH tail as an additional dose parameter (Dmin). Toxicity models were built using feed-forward neural networks (FNNs, 10 neurons and 1 hidden layer) following a wrapper method for feature selection. We used separate datasets for input: clinical/treatment/genetic features were constant, while the dosimetric factors (EUDs and Dmin) coming from sub-DVHs varied with volume cutoff and a/b .Results The 647 pts included in the analysis had a G1+ SI rate at 2 years of 29.4%. 281 variables were considered: 127 published SNPs (GWAS literature), 40 clinical factors, 93 treatment factors and 21 dosimetric variables (for each volume and a/b). For volume thresholds <200cc, no dosimetric feature was selected by the wrapper method. Therefore, we derived a predictive model (16 features, no dosimetric variable) for use before RT planning (Model 1). At sub-DVH_200cc, for a/b=3.6Gy only Dmin was selected (Model 2) as dosimetric variable, while for a/b=1.8Gy, EUD (n=0.5) and Dmin entered the FNN (Model 3). Conclusion A pre-planning SI model was derived that included information on genetics (6 SNPs), treatment (6 RT, 1 oncology) and clinical factors. Largest volume (200cc) sub-DVH allowed selection of dosimetric features, particularly with a/b=1.8Gy and EUD with n=0.5. Following validation, the model could be used to personalise use of new RT schedules, such as ultrahigh hypofractionation, to minimise risk of Sl.
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Date
2022
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Meetings and Proceedings
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Cicchetti A, La Rocca E, De Santis MC, Seibold P, Azria D, De Ruysscher D, et al. Machine learning based models of radiotherapy-induced skin induration for breast cancer patients. Radiotherapy and Oncology. 2022 May;170:S720-S1. PubMed PMID: WOS:000806764200348.
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